Accident Investigation Unit IV Assignment

Unit IV Assignment

Events and Causal Factors Chart Project

Read the U.S. Chemical Safety Board (CSB) investigation report of the 2007 propane explosion at the Little General Store

in Ghent, WV. The final report can be read/downloaded at the following link:

http://www.csb.gov/assets/1/19/CSBFinalReportLittleGeneral.pdf

Additional information on the incident, including a video summary, can be found at the following link:

http://www.csb.gov/little-general-store-propane-explosion/

Complete the assignment as detailed below.

Part I: From the information in the report, create a chart listing events and causal factors for the incident in Microsoft

Word, Open Office, or a similar word processing software. If you choose to use a program other than Microsoft Word, be

sure to save and submit the document as a Microsoft Word document (i.e., .doc, .docx). The objective of this project is to

provide you with an opportunity to use this important and very practical analytical tool. The chart does not have to be

infinitely detailed, but the key sequence of events should be charted as should the key conditions surrounding the events.

Keep in mind that the purpose of an events and causal factors chart is to aid in identifying which conditions could be

causal factors.

Use the charting procedures on pages 72–76 of your textbook to help you with this assignment. In addition, refer to the

example events and causal factors (ECF) chart in the Unit IV Lesson for an example of this type of chart.

Part II: On a separate page, discuss the potential causal factors that are revealed in the analysis. How do these causal

factors compare to the causal factors found in the CSB’s investigation report? Do you think more analysis is needed? This

part of the assignment should be a minimum of one page in length.

Upload Parts I and II as a single document. For Part II of the assignment, you should use academic sources to support

your thoughts. Any outside sources used, including the sources mentioned in the assignment, must be cited using APA

format and must be included on a references page.

 

Useful hints: In Microsoft Word, you can use parentheses for events (events), square brackets for conditions [conditions],

and brackets for the accident {accident}; you may also use a similar convention, such as color-coded text or the shapes

that are available within Microsoft Word. Whatever convention you use, be sure you provide some kind of key.

 
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Watch The Video And Answer The Questions.

Watch the video, then answer the questions.

Video link: https://vimeo.com/97358756

Questions:

1. How much natural gas does President Obama say the USA has in reserve?

 

2. According to Wilma Subra, what has happened to the Gulf of Mexico ecosystem after the BP oil spill in 2010? Does gas production continue?

 

3. What is termed the “Saudi Arabia of natural gas”?

 

4. What is hydraulic fracturing? What method is used for gas extraction?

 

5. Is fracking included in the Safe Drinking Water Act? Do companies have to disclose what chemicals they are using during fracking?

 

6. According to the NY Times report how was waste water from drilling being disposed of?

 

7. What gas was contaminating Dimock, Pennsylvania’s groundwater?

8. Land owners in Wyoming do not own “Mineral Rights.” This means the oil and gas companies can buy the mineral rights and land owners have no control over where there is drilling and get no profits from oil and gas extracted from beneath their land. Does this seem fair?

 

9. Once contaminates, like the chemicals used in fracking fluids, get into the ground, can those contaminates be removed easily?

10. What is your opinion on the following statements?

· “There’s really absolutely nothing new about this… We’ve been doing resource extraction at the expense of indigenous populations the entire history of this country… Unique to the situation is, you got a lot of upper middle class white people with college degrees getting ticked off because they’re being treated the way third world people have always been treated by corporate America.” – Rep. Lon Burnam (TX)

 

· “Three years ago I was a Republican, now I’m an Independent… The things they did, they pissed all over us… What they’re doing here is the biggest assault on private property rights that I’ve ever heard or seen, and they’re supposed to be conservatives. That’s one of the founding principles of conservativism, is private property rights, and you got no private property rights. Not in Texas at least” – Calvin Tillman, Mayor, Dish, TX

 

11. What consequence of oil and gas drilling to human health is being experienced by Bob and Lisa Parr?

 

12. Was construction of the municipal water pipe that would bring clean water to Dimock, PA completed?

13. What is Hill & Knowlton? Who employed Hill & Knowlton in the past? Who employs Hill & Knowlton now?

 
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Energy Resources

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Energy Resources

you must paraphrase in your own words from these sources; do not simply copy and paste from the source.

Natural Gas and the Marcellus Shale

Parts of this activity were modified from Sid P. Halsor, Wilkes University

Geogal: “When I was a the fitness center the other day I overheard someone say that a friend of theirs had been offered $2,000 an acre by a natural gas company”

Geoguy (while examining a hand sample of shale): “Wow, last I heard top dollar was around $1700 an acre. Can you imagine if you owned a couple hundred-acre farm in rural northeast Pennsylvania and you were offered this kind of money? And this is just to lease your land. You’d also get a percentage of the value of any gas that was produced.”

Geogal (noting the parting in the shale specimen): “Considering many farmers are just barely making it, I can see that a gas lease offer would be highly attractive. It might be the only way that farmers can survive and keep them from selling their land. After all, family farms are an essential part of Pennsylvania’s rural landscape.”

Geoguy: “But how will gas wells and the production and transmission of gas impact the land? Will a farm still look like a farm?”

Geogal: “I’ve heard that advances in technology have reduced the environmental impact of fossil fuel drilling. Still, given the vast area of land that lies above the Marcellus Shale, the landscape would surely be changed.

Geoguy (puzzled look on his face): So, how do they get the gas out of a fine-grained impermeable shale anyway??

I. Background. There is much talk about drilling the Marcellus Shale. So much so, that one would think it was a newly discovered mega-source of natural gas that could sustain our country’s needs for decades. In reality, the Marcellus has been known a gas reservoir for more than 75 years. In the late 1800s, natural gas was discovered in shale in western Pennsylvania. By the beginning of the twentieth century, just about every backyard and manufacturing plant within a mile of the Lake Erie shore in Pennsylvania had at least one gas well that kept the house or business reasonable well lighted and heated. The gas wells were shallow, generally less than 1,000 ft. and many were producing from as shallow as 25 or 30ft. The gas supply was often interrupted by variable pressure however, many of the backyard wells are still providing gas to residents of Erie County.

According to the Maryland Department of the Environment, “The Marcellus Shale has long been known as an organic-rich shale in the Appalachians, occurring at the surface and in the subsurface from New York to eastern Tennessee. Marcellus shale produces natural gas. The Marcellus Shale in Maryland is found in Washington, Allegany and Garrett Counties. The locations that have attracted the most interest for gas extraction are in Allegany and Garrett Counties. The Marcellus Shale in Western Maryland is found at depths of 3,500 to 7,000 feet.”

1. Many Pennsylvania residents have private water wells but imagine having your own natural gas well. Describe the concerns as well as the benefits of having your own natural gas well.

II. Marcellus Shale. The shale that defines the Middle Devonian Marcellus Formation is a black, organic-rich, detrital sedimentary rock. The dark color and high organic content are the result of anaerobic decay of marine organisms that accumulated with the fine-grained sediment. Organic decay occurred at depth where elevated pressure and temperature converted the carbon into natural gas. Devonian black shales are common to western Maryland bedrock and often occur with marginally organic-rich gray shales and siltstones in sequences that can be several thousand feet thick.

2. In conventional reservoirs of fluids (groundwater, crude oil, natural gas), the fluid resides in rocks that are both porous and permeable.

a) Define the geologic meaning of porous here:

b) Define the geologic meaning of permeable here:

3. Sandstones are both porous and permeable. Give an example of a sedimentary rock that is porous but not permeable.

4. What is the average grain size of a shale?

III. Shale as a reservoir rock. Black, organic-rich shale is a conventional source rock for crude oil and natural gas but an unconventional reservoir rock.

5. Look up and define the meaning of source rock here:

6. Look up and define the meaning of reservoir rock here:

Crude oil and natural gas form from a carbon-rich source at depth. Due to their lower density compared to the surrounding rock, the fluids rise up and accumulate in porous and permeable rock (a reservoir) that is capped by an impermeable layer. The impermeable cap prevents the accumulated oil and/or gas to be dispersed through the crust and lost from the reservoir. In conventional exploration, deep wells are drilled through the cap and accumulated crude oil and/or natural gas is extracted from the reservoir.

7. Why would shale, like the Marcellus, be considered an unconventional reservoir for natural gas?

IV. The push to explore and develop the Marcellus shale. Rising natural gas prices during the turn of the current century coupled with technological advances spurred interest in the Marcellus shale. Most of the exploratory and development gas wells in the Marcellus are drilled to depths ranging between 5,000 and 8,000 ft.

8. If it costs a gas drilling company about $150 per foot to drill a vertical gas well, how much does it cost to drill a 7,000 ft. vertical well?

9. An average vertical gas well might produce 45,000 cubic feet of natural gas per day. If the wellhead (top of the well before it flows into a pipeline for distribution) price for natural gas is $7.50 per thousand cubic feet, how many years will it take a gas company to recover its cost to drill a 7,000 ft well if they work 365 days a year?

V. Horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing. New drilling and stimulating techniques have made the Marcellus shale a viable target for gas extraction. Horizontal drilling allows a vertical well to turn and penetrate a layer of rock. This allows a much greater volume of gas-bearing rock to be intersected by a drill. Furthermore, hydraulic fracturing (“fracking”) is a technique that enhances the recovery of gas and/or crude oil. This technique involves pumping a water-based fluid and sand into a formation under high pressure. The pressure induces cracks in the rock and the sand helps prop open the cracks. Horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing triples the cost of drilling a well.

Read the following three short articles on drilling at http://marcelluscoalition.org/. From the website’s homepage, click on the “Information” tab at the top, then click on the “Natural Gas” tab. Read through the following tabs on the left: 1) Drilling, 2) Well Casing, and 3) Hydrologic Fracturing.

Then view a 2- minute simulation of the horizontal drilling / hydraulic fracking process at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O0kmskvJFt0

10. Based on your reading and the video, how are shallow aquifers protected from contamination by the drilling process and subsequent extraction of natural gas?

VI. Environmental issues associated with deep gas well drilling. Any process that extracts a natural resource from the earth’s crust impacts the environment (“we can’t get something for nothing”). Although much needed regulations emplaced over the last several decades have lessened the impacts, they have not eliminated them. Conventional vertical well drilling environmental impacts include surface disturbance (access and drilling operation set up, disposal of rock cuttings carried out of the well by a mixture of clay and water, i.e. “drilling mud”, emplacement of infrastructure to move gas into a pipeline network) and “down hole” preventative measures (contamination of groundwater aquifers, management of saline formation waters that can carry toxic chemical compounds).

11. According to the Hydraulic Fracturing article from the marcelluscoalition.org website, what percent of the fracturing fluids is composed of water and sand?

12. Does the Marcellus Drilling Coalition report the composition of the remaining percent of fracturing fluids on that webpage?

Go to https://www.earthworksaction.org/, click on the “Fracking 101” link on the right, and read the sections labeled “Hydraulic Fracturing – What It Is”, “Water Use”, “Sand and Proppants”, “Toxic Chemicals”, “Health Concerns”, “Surface Water and Soil Contamination”, and “Groundwater Contamination”. This website notes that until recently it has been difficult to learn of the chemicals that are used in fracking wells. Keep this website open.

The website http://www.fracfocus.org/ is a chemical disclosure registry for hydraulic fracturing chemicals. Go to this website, click the link “Find a Well” on the right, fill in the search option for State = Pennsylvania, and click “Search”. Click on any of the results and open the PDF. Each results PDF contains chemicals use in the well in question, and a list of the purpose of the chemical in the fracking fluid.

13. Compare the “purpose” results to the list of additive types in the earthworksaction.org website. Approximately how many additives from the list were included in the well you chose? Approximately how many were not used?

14. “Fracking” has been in the media lately, with concerns for environmental health around fracking wells, including groundwater contamination, fracking fluid spills, and fracking causing earthquakes. Read the article regarding Maryland’s ban on fracking at https://insideclimatenews.org/news/23032017/fracking-ban-maryland-larry-hogan . Based on what you read for this discussion, what is your opinion on hydraulic fracturing? Do you agree with the MD ban on fracking? Why or why not?

 
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Paper

https://toxtown.nlm.nih.gov/

http://sis.nlm.nih.gov/enviro/toxtutor.html

http://www.atsdr.cdc.gov/

 

Access the Tox Tutor website by following the instructions in the Toxicology Worksheet assignment.

Access the Tox Town website. This site will allow you to explore different places in society where health concerns and toxic chemicals reside.

Access the Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (ATSDR) website. This site can be used to review toxic substances.

Access the Contaminant Pathways Diagram on the course site.

Write a 1,050 – to 1,400-word paper. Include the following in your paper:

· Identify the environmental effects of contaminants.

· Explain the difference between toxicokinetics and toxicodynamics.

· What steps are involved in toxicokinetics?

· Explain the primary routes of exposure for contaminants.

· Explain the various pathways of distribution for contaminants.

· Explain the four principal mechanisms in moving contaminants across the cell membrane, or uptake.

· What is involved in Phases I and II of biotransformation?

· What can occur as a result of biotransformation?

Format your paper consistent with APA guidelines.

 
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Toxicology

1. A family goes fishing at a weekend getaway and has a fish fry with their catch. Several of the family members fall sick, and when they were screened in the emergency room, test results show that benzene was consumed by the family members. The fish that were consumed evidently came from a lake that was contaminated. The following data set represents the level of benzene (in micrograms) that each member consumed. Within your response, please explain how you calculated your answer.

Given the data set 215, 501, 305, 298, 345, 305, 465, calculate the results below:

​a. mean,

​b. mode,

​c. median, and

​d. standard deviation.

Your response should be at least 300 words in length.

2. A population of individuals was exposed to lead contamination in drinking water at the concentration of 27 parts per billion (ppb). The following represents a small sample set from the population indicating the level of response to the contaminant rated on a scale from 1–20. Within your response, please explain how you calculated your answer (1 indicating minimal effects and 20 indicating maximum effects to the lead exposure).

 

Given the data set 9, 12, 7, 15, 8, 9, 10, calculate the following results:

​a. mean,

​b. mode,

​c. median, and

​d. standard deviation.

Your response should be at least 300 words in length

 
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Industrial Hygiene Case Study

You are asked to evaluate employees’ exposures to methyl n-amyl ketone during a painting operation. After careful consideration, you choose NIOSH Method 2553 for the sampling. You can access the method by clicking the link below:

National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health. (2003). Ketones II: Method 2553. In P. M. Eiler & M. E. Cassinelli (Eds.), NIOSH manual of analytical methods (4th ed.). Retrieved from http://www.cdc.gov/niosh/docs/2003-154/pdfs/2553.pdf

Your pre-sampling and post-sampling pump calibrations using a primary standard are both 0.05 L/min. You collect personal samples on two employees working in the operation. The samples are collected for 430 minutes (Sample 1) and 440 minutes (Sample 2).

• Calculate the sample volumes for each of the samples.

The laboratory reports that the front section of Sample 1 contains 5,000 μg of methyl n-amyl ketone and the back section contains 200 μg of methyl n-amyl ketone. The front section of Sample 2 contains 4,000 μg of methyl n-amyl ketone and the back section contains 50 μg of methyl n-amyl ketone. Neither the front nor back sections of the field blank you supplied contain any detectable levels of methyl n-amyl ketone.

• Calculate the concentrations of the two personal samples in μg/L and mg/m³.

• Convert the result to ppm (MW for methyl n-amyl ketone = 114.2). Note: Use the ideal gas constant of 24.45.

• Show all the steps for your calculations.

You then reference OSHA’s Table Z-1 and find that the 8-hour TWA PEL for methyl n-amyl ketone is 100 ppm

• Discuss how the results of the two personal samples you collected compare to the OSHA PEL, and describe the sampling method you implemented.

You also look up the ACGIH TLV for methyl n-amyl ketone and find that the TLV is 50 ppm as an 8-hour TWA exposure.

• Discuss how the results for the two personal samples compare to the ACGIH TLV.

• Discuss whether you would recommend comparing the results of your sampling to the OSHA PEL or the ACGIH TLV. Include your rationale for the choice, and explain how you would rationalize your choice to your employer.

The case study should be a minimum of three pages in length, and you should cite the NIOSH document using APA style.

 
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LAB 4

C:\Users\vhoughton\Downloads\ESL-Logo-PMS-285-no-tagline (1).png

Lab 4: Energy Sources and Alternative Energy

 

Experiment 1: The Effects of Coal Mining

Coal mining, particularly surface mining, leads to large areas of land being temporarily disturbed. Mines collect and conduct water that is in contact with pyrite, a mineral that produces iron and sulfuric acid when exposed to air and water. Limestone is often used to mitigate the effects of pyrite on water. In this lab, you will see first-hand the reasons why mine drainage can be harmful to the local drainage system if left untreated.

 

POST-LAB QUESTIONS

 

1. Develop hypotheses predicting the effect of pyrite and limestone on water acidity? Why would you predict these effects?

 

a. Pyrite hypothesis =

b. Limestone hypothesis =

 

Table 1: pH of Water Samples
Water Sample Initial pH Final pH
Pyrite    
Limestone    
Water    

 

 

2. Based on the results of your experiment, would you reject or accept each hypothesis that you produced in question 1? Why?

 

a. Pyrite hypothesis accept/reject =

b. Limestone hypothesis accept/reject =

 

 

3. Based on your data, what effect do you predict coal mining has on the environment?

 

Answer =

 

 

4. Based on your data, why would you use limestone to treat acid mine damage? Utilize at least one scholarly resource to support your suggestions.

 

Answer =

 

 

Experiment 2: Solar Energy

The sun’s energy is free, plentiful, non-polluting, and can be converted into electricity with the use of photovoltaic cells. Also called a solar cell, these panels capture sunlight and emit a current that can be used to power many things, including the small motor attached to the solar panel in your kit. In this experiment, you will investigate how the amount and wavelength of light affect the generation of electricity.

 

Post-Lab Questions

 

1. Develop hypotheses predicting the efficiency of solar energy from direct sunlight against the four variables tested.

 

Direct vs indirect (at an angle) hypothesis =

Direct vs reflected (using aluminum foil reflector) hypothesis =

Direct vs shaded (covering the solar panel) hypothesis =

Direct vs filtered (using color filtration) hypothesis =

 

Table 2: Solar Energy Experiment Results
Environmental Descriptor/Variable Observations

(Each should be compared against direct subnlight)

Weather  
Motor speed in direct sunlight VF F M S NM
Motor speed at 45 degree angle VF F M S NM
Motor speed with 25% shaded VF F M S NM
Motor speed with 50% shaded VF F M S NM
Motor speed with 75% shaded VF F M S NM
Motor speed under reflectors VF F M S NM
Motor speed under red filtration VF F M S NM
Motor speed under blue filtration VF F M S NM
Motor speed under green filtration VF F M S NM
Motor speed under yellow filtration VF F M S NM

 

 

 

2. Based on the results of your experiment, would you reject or accept each hypothesis that you produced in question 1? Explain how you determined this.

 

Direct vs indirect accept/reject =

Direct vs reflected accept/reject =

Direct vs shaded accept/reject =

Direct vs filtered accept/reject =

 

 

3. Does increased exposure to the sun’s light produce more current? Explain how you know this based on your data?

 

Answer =

 

 

4. How could you increase the electricity generated by a solar cell during the day when the sun’s angle is constantly changing?

 

Answer =

 

 

5. Based on your data, could adding filters to solar panels increase the solar energy produced? Explain how you know this.

 

Answer =

 

 

References

Any sources utilized should be listed here.

 

© eScience Labs, 2016

 
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Discussion

“The town of El Valle de Antón, in central Panama, sits in the middle of a volcanic crater formed about a million years ago. The crater is almost four miles wide, but when the weather is clear you can see the jagged hills that surround the town like the walls of a ruined tower. El Valle has one main street, a police station, and an open-air market. In addition to the usual assortment of Panama hats and vividly colored embroidery, the market offers what must be the world’s largest selection of golden-frog figurines. There are golden frogs resting on leaves and golden frogs sitting up on their haunches and—rather more difficult to understand—golden frogs clasping cell phones. There are golden frogs wearing frilly skirts and golden frogs striking dance poses and golden frogs smoking cigarettes through a holder, after the fashion of FDR. The golden frog, which is taxicab yellow with dark brown splotches, is endemic to the area around El Valle. It is considered a lucky symbol in Panama; its image is (or at least used to be) printed on lottery tickets.”

 

“As recently as a decade ago, golden frogs were easy to spot in the hills around El Valle. The frogs are toxic—it’s been calculated that the poison contained in the skin of just one animal could kill a thousand average-sized mice—hence the vivid color, which makes them stand out against the forest floor. One creek not far from El Valle was nicknamed Thousand Frog Stream. A person walking along it would see so many golden frogs sunning themselves on the banks that, as one herpetologist who made the trip many times put it to me, “it was insane—absolutely insane.”

Then the frogs around El Valle started to disappear. The problem—it was not yet perceived as a crisis—was first noticed to the west, near Panama’s border with Costa Rica. An American graduate student happened to be studying frogs in the rainforest there. She went back to “the States for a while to write her dissertation, and when she returned, she couldn’t find any frogs or, for that matter, amphibians of any kind. She had no idea what was going on, but since she needed frogs for her research, she set up a new study site, farther east. At first the frogs at the new site seemed healthy; then the same thing happened: the amphibians vanished. The blight spread through the rainforest until, in 2002, the frogs in the hills and streams around the town of Santa Fe, about fifty miles west of El Valle, were effectively wiped out. In 2004, little corpses began showing up even closer to El Valle, around the town of El Copé. By this point, a group of biologists, some from Panama, others from the United States, had concluded that the golden frog was in grave danger. They decided to try to preserve a remnant population by removing a few dozen of each sex from the forest and raising them indoors. But whatever was killing the frogs was moving even faster than the biologists had feared. Before they could act on their plan, the wave hit.”

 

“I first read about the frogs of El Valle in a nature magazine for children that I picked up from my kids. The article, which was illustrated with full-color photos of the Panamanian golden frog and other brilliantly colored species, told the story of the spreading scourge and the biologists’ efforts to get out in front of it. The biologists had hoped to have a new lab facility constructed in El Valle, but it was not ready in time. They raced to save as many animals as possible, even though they had nowhere to keep them. So what did they end up doing? They put them “in a frog hotel, of course!” The “incredible frog hotel”—really a local bed and breakfast—agreed to let the frogs stay (in their tanks) in a block of rented rooms.

“With biologists at their beck and call, the frogs enjoyed first-class accommodations that included maid and room service,” the article noted. The frogs were also served delicious, fresh meals—“so fresh, in fact, the food could hop right off the plate.

 

“Just a few weeks after I read about the “incredible frog hotel,” I ran across another frog-related article written in a rather different key. This one, which appeared in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, was by a pair of herpetologists. It was titled “Are We in the Midst of the Sixth Mass Extinction? A View from the World of Amphibians.” The authors, David Wake, of the University of California-Berkeley, and Vance Vredenburg, of San Francisco State, noted that there “have been five great mass extinctions during the history of life on this planet.” These extinctions they described as events that led to “a profound loss of biodiversity.” The first took place during the late Ordovician period, some 450 million years ago, “when living things were still mainly confined to the water. The most devastating took place at the end of the Permian period, some 250 million years ago, and it came perilously close to emptying the earth out altogether. (This event is sometimes referred to as “the mother of mass extinctions” or “the great dying.”) The most recent—and famous—mass extinction came at the close of the Cretaceous period; it wiped out, in addition to the dinosaurs, the plesiosaurs, the mosasaurs, the ammonites, and the pterosaurs. Wake and Vredenburg argued that, based on extinction rates among amphibians, an event of a similarly catastrophic nature was currently under way. Their article was illustrated with just one photograph, of about a dozen mountain yellow-legged frogs—all dead—lying bloated and belly-up on some rocks.

 

“I understood why a kids’ magazine had opted to publish photos of live frogs rather than dead ones. I also understood the impulse to play up the Beatrix Potter–like charms of amphibians ordering room service. Still, it seemed to me, as a journalist, that the magazine had buried the lede. Any event that has occurred just five times since the first animal with a backbone appeared, some five hundred million years ago, must qualify as exceedingly rare. The notion that a sixth such event would be taking place right now, more or less in front of our eyes, struck me as, to use the technical term, mind-boggling. Surely this story, too—the bigger, darker, far more consequential one—deserved telling. If Wake and Vredenburg were correct, then those of us alive today not only are witnessing one of the rarest events in life’s history, we are also causing it. “One weedy species,” the pair observed, “has unwittingly achieved the ability to directly affect its own fate and that of most of the other species on this planet.” A few days after I read Wake and Vredenburg’s article, I booked a ticket to Panama.”

 

“THE El Valle Amphibian Conservation Center, or EVACC (pronounced “ee-vac”), lies along a dirt road not far from the open-air market where the golden frog figurines are sold. It’s about the size of a suburban ranch house, and it occupies the back corner of a small, sleepy zoo, just beyond a cage of very sleepy sloths. The entire building is filled with tanks. There are tanks lined up against the walls and more tanks stacked at the center of the room, like books on the shelves of a library. The taller tanks are occupied by species like the lemur tree frog, which lives in the forest canopy; the shorter tanks serve for species like the big-headed robber frog, which lives on the forest floor. Tanks of horned marsupial frogs, which carry their eggs in a pouch, sit next to tanks of casque-headed frogs, which carry their eggs on their backs. A few dozen tanks are devoted to Panamanian golden frogs, Atelopus zeteki.”

 

“Golden frogs have a distinctive, ambling gait that makes them look a bit like drunks trying to walk a straight line. They have long, skinny limbs, pointy yellow snouts, and very dark eyes, through which they seem to be regarding the world warily. At the risk of sounding weak-minded, I will say that they look intelligent. In the wild, females lay their eggs in shallow running water; males, meanwhile, defend their territory from the tops of mossy rocks. In EVACC, each golden frog tank has its own running water, provided by its own little hose, so that the animals can breed near a simulacrum of the streams that were once their home. In one of the ersatz streams, I noticed a string of little pearl-like eggs. On a white board nearby someone had noted excitedly that one of the frogs “depositó huevos!!”

 

“EVACC sits more or less in the middle of the golden frog’s range, but it is, by design, entirely cut off from the outside world. Nothing comes into the building that has not been thoroughly disinfected, including the frogs, which, in order to gain entry, must first be treated with a solution of bleach. Human visitors are required to wear special shoes and to leave behind any bags or knapsacks or equipment that they’ve used out in the field. All of the water that enters the tanks has been filtered and specially treated. The sealed-off nature of the place gives it the feel of a submarine or, perhaps more aptly, an ark mid-deluge.

“EVACC’s director is a Panamanian named Edgardo Griffith. Griffith is tall and broad-shouldered, with a round face and a wide smile. He wears a silver ring in each ear and has a large tattoo of a toad’s skeleton on his left shin. Now in his mid-thirties, Griffith has devoted pretty much his entire adult life to the amphibians of El Valle, and he has turned his wife, an American who came to Panama as a Peace Corps volunteer, into a frog person, too. Griffith was the first person to notice when little carcasses started showing up in the area, and he personally collected many of the several hundred amphibians that got booked into the hotel. (The animals were transferred to EVACC once the building had been completed.) If EVACC is a sort of ark, Griffith becomes its Noah, though one on extended duty, since already he’s been at things a good deal longer than forty days. Griffith told me that a key part of his job was getting to know the frogs as individuals. “Every one of them has the same value to me as an elephant,” he said.”

 

“The first time I visited EVACC, Griffith pointed out to me the representatives of species that are now extinct in the wild. These included, in addition to the Panamanian golden frog, the Rabbs’ fringe-limbed tree frog, which was first identified only in 2005. At the time of my visit, EVACC was down to just one Rabbs’ frog, so the possibility of saving even a single, Noachian pair had obviously passed. The frog, greenish brown with yellow speckles, was about four inches long, with oversized feet that gave it the look of a gawky teenager. Rabbs’ fringe-limbed tree frogs lived in the forest above El Valle, and they laid their eggs in tree holes. In an unusual, perhaps even unique arrangement, the male frogs cared for the tadpoles by allowing their young, quite literally, to eat the skin off their backs. Griffith said that he thought there were probably many other amphibian species that had been missed in the initial collecting rush for EVACC and had since vanished; it was hard to say how many, since most of them were probably unknown to science. “Unfortunately,” he told me, “we are losing all these amphibians before we even know that they exist.””

 

“WHEN the first reports that frog populations were crashing began to circulate, a few decades ago, some of the most knowledgeable people in the field were the most skeptical. Amphibians are, after all, among the planet’s great survivors. The ancestors of today’s frogs crawled out of the water some 400 million years ago, and by 250 million years ago the earliest representatives of what would become the modern amphibian orders—one includes frogs and toads, the second newts and salamanders, and the third weird limbless creatures called caecilians—had evolved. This means that amphibians have been around not just longer than mammals, say, or birds; they have been around since before there were dinosaurs.

“Most amphibians—the word comes from the Greek meaning “double life”—are still closely tied to the aquatic realm from which they emerged. (The ancient Egyptians thought that frogs were produced by the coupling of land and water during the annual flooding of the Nile.) Their eggs, which have no shells, must be kept moist in order to develop. There are many frogs that, like the Panamanian golden frog, lay their eggs in streams. There are also frogs that lay them in temporary pools, frogs that lay them underground, and frogs that lay them in nests that they construct out of foam. In addition to frogs that carry their eggs on their backs and in pouches, there are frogs that carry them wrapped like bandages around their legs. Until recently, when both of them went extinct, there were two species of frogs, known as gastric-brooding frogs, that carried their eggs in their stomachs and gave birth to little froglets through their mouths.”

 

“Amphibians emerged at a time when all the land on earth was part of a single expanse known as Pangaea. Since the breakup of Pangaea, they’ve adapted to conditions on every continent except Antarctica. Worldwide, just over seven thousand species have been identified, and while the greatest number are found in the tropical rainforests, there are occasional amphibians, like the sandhill frog of Australia, that can live in the desert, and also amphibians, like the wood frog, that can live above the Arctic Circle. Several common North American frogs, including spring peepers, are able to survive the winter frozen solid, like popsicles. Their extended evolutionary history means that even groups of amphibians that, from a human perspective, seem to be fairly similar may, genetically speaking, be as different from one another as, say, bats are from horses.”

 

“David Wake, one of the authors of the article that sent me to Panama, was among those who initially did not believe that amphibians were disappearing. This was back in the mid–nineteen-eighties. Wake’s students began returning from frog-collecting trips in the Sierra Nevada empty-handed. Wake remembered from his own student days, in the nineteen-sixties, that frogs in the Sierras had been difficult to avoid. “You’d be walking through meadows, and you’d inadvertently step on them,” he told me. “They were just everywhere.” Wake assumed that his students were going to the wrong spots, or that they just didn’t know how to look. Then a postdoc with several years of collecting experience told him that he couldn’t find any amphibians, either. “I said, ‘OK, I’ll go up with you, and we’ll go out to some proven places,’” Wake recalled. “And I took him out to this proven place, and we found like two toads.”

 

“Part of what made the situation so mystifying was the geography; frogs seemed to be vanishing not only from populated and disturbed areas but also from relatively pristine places, like the Sierras and the mountains of Central America. In the late nineteen-eighties, an American herpetologist went to the Monteverde Cloud Forest Reserve in northern Costa Rica to study the reproductive habits of golden toads. She spent two field seasons looking; where once the toads had mated in writhing masses, a single male was sighted. (The golden toad, now classified as extinct, was actually a bright tangerine color. It was only very distantly related to the Panamanian golden frog, which, owing to a pair of glands located behind its eyes, is also technically a toad.) Around the same time, in central Costa Rica, biologists noticed that the populations of several endemic frog species had crashed. Rare and highly specialized species were vanishing and so, too, were much more familiar ones. In Ecuador, the Jambato toad, a frequent visitor to backyard gardens, disappeared in a matter of years. And in northeastern Australia the southern day frog, once one of the most common in the region, could no longer be found.”

 

“The first clue to the mysterious killer that was claiming frogs from Queensland to California came—perhaps ironically, perhaps not—from a zoo. The National Zoo, in Washington, D.C., had been successfully raising blue poison-dart frogs, which are native to Suriname, through many generations. Then, more or less from one day to the next, the zoo’s tank-bred frogs started dropping. A veterinary pathologist at the zoo took some samples from the dead frogs and ran them through an electron scanning microscope. He found a strange microorganism on the animals’ skin, which he eventually identified as a fungus belonging to a group known as chytrids”

 

“Chytrid fungi are nearly ubiquitous; they can be found at the tops of trees and also deep underground. This particular species, though, had never been seen before; indeed, it was so unusual that an entire genus had to be created to accommodate it. It was named Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis—batrachos is Greek for “frog”—or Bd for short.”

 

“The veterinary pathologist sent samples from infected frogs at the National Zoo to a mycologist at the University of Maine. The mycologist grew cultures of the fungus and then sent some of them back to Washington. When healthy blue poison-dart frogs were exposed to the lab-raised Bd, they sickened. Within three weeks, they were dead. Subsequent research showed that Bd interferes with frogs’ ability to take up critical electrolytes through their skin. This causes them to suffer what is, in effect, a heart attack.”

 

“EVACC can perhaps best be described as a work-in-progress. The week I spent at the center, a team of American volunteers was also there, helping to construct an exhibit. The exhibit was going to be open to the public, so, for biosecurity purposes, the space had to be isolated and equipped with its own separate entrance. There were holes in the walls where, eventually, glass cases were to be mounted, and around the holes someone had painted a mountain landscape very much like what you would see if you stepped outside and looked up at the hills. The highlight of the exhibit was to be a large case full of Panamanian golden frogs, and the volunteers were trying to construct a three-foot-high concrete waterfall for them. But there were problems with the pumping system and difficulties getting replacement parts in a valley with no hardware store. The volunteers seemed to be spending a lot of time hanging around, waiting.”

 

“I spent a lot of time hanging around with them. Like Griffith, all of the volunteers were frog lovers. Several, I learned, were zookeepers who worked with amphibians back in the States. (One told me that frogs had ruined his marriage.) I was moved by the team’s dedication, which was the same sort of commitment that had gotten the frogs into the “frog hotel” and then had gotten EVACC up and running, if not entirely completed. But I couldn’t help also feeling that there was also something awfully sad about the painted green hills and the fake waterfall.”

 

“With almost no frogs left in the forests around El Valle, the case for bringing the animals into EVACC has by now clearly been proved. And yet the longer the frogs spend in the center, the tougher it is to explain what they’re doing there. The chytrid fungus, it turns out, does not need amphibians in order to survive. This means that even after it has killed off the animals in an area, it continues to live on, doing whatever it is that chytrid fungi do. Thus, were the golden frogs at EVACC allowed to amble back into the actual hills around El Valle, they would sicken and collapse. (Though the fungus can be destroyed by bleach, it’s obviously impossible to disinfect an entire rainforest.) Everyone I spoke to at EVACC told me that the center’s goal was to maintain the animals until they could be released to repopulate the forests, and everyone also acknowledged that they couldn’t imagine how this would actually be done.”

 

“We’ve got to hope that somehow it’s all going to come together,” Paul Crump, a herpetologist from the Houston Zoo who was directing the stalled waterfall project, told me. “We’ve got to hope that something will happen, and we’ll be able to piece it all together, and it will all be as it once was, which now that I say it out loud sounds kind of stupid.”

 

“The point is to be able to take them back, which every day I see more like a fantasy,” Griffith said.

Once chytrid swept through El Valle, it didn’t stop; it continued to move east. It has also since arrived in Panama from the opposite direction, out of Colombia. Bd has spread through the highlands of South America and down the eastern coast of Australia, and it has crossed into New Zealand and Tasmania. It has raced through the Caribbean and has been detected in Italy, Spain, Switzerland, and France. In the U.S., it appears to have radiated from several points, not so much in a wavelike pattern as in a series of ripples. At this point, it appears to be, for all intents and purposes, unstoppable.”

 

“THE same way acoustical engineers speak of “background noise” biologists talk about “background extinction.” In ordinary times—times here understood to mean whole geologic epochs—extinction takes place only very rarely, more rarely even than speciation, and it occurs at what’s known as the background extinction rate. This rate varies from one group of organisms to another; often it’s expressed in terms of extinctions per million species-years. Calculating the background extinction rate is a laborious task that entails combing through whole databases’ worth of fossils. For what’s probably the best-studied group, which is mammals, it’s been reckoned to be roughly .25 per million species-years. This means that, since there are about fifty-five hundred mammal species wandering around today, at the background extinction rate you’d expect—once again, very roughly—one species to disappear every seven hundred years.”

 

“Mass extinctions are different. Instead of a background hum there’s a crash, and disappearance rates spike. Anthony Hallam and Paul Wignall, British paleontologists who have written extensively on the subject, define mass extinctions as events that eliminate a “significant proportion of the world’s biota in a geologically insignificant amount of time.” Another expert, David Jablonski, characterizes mass extinctions as “substantial biodiversity losses” that occur rapidly and are “global in extent.” Michael Benton, a paleontologist who has studied the end-Permian extinction, uses the metaphor of the tree of life: “During a mass extinction, vast swathes of the tree are cut short, as if attacked by crazed, axe-wielding madmen.” A fifth paleontologist, David Raup, has tried looking at matters from the perspective of the victims: “Species are at a low risk of extinction most of the time.” But this “condition of relative safety is punctuated at rare intervals by a vastly higher risk.” The history of life thus consists of “long periods of boredom interrupted occasionally by panic.”

 

“The Big Five extinctions, as seen in the marine fossil record, resulted in a sharp decline in diversity at the family level. If even one species from a family made it through, the family counts as a survivor, so on the species level the losses were far greater.

 

In times of panic, whole groups of once-dominant organisms can disappear or be relegated to secondary roles, almost as if the globe has undergone a cast change. Such wholesale losses have led paleontologists to surmise that during mass extinction events—in addition to the so-called Big Five, there have been many lesser such events—the usual rules of survival are suspended. Conditions change so drastically or so suddenly (or so drastically and so suddenly) that evolutionary history counts for little. Indeed, the very traits that have been most useful for dealing with ordinary threats may turn out, under such extraordinary circumstances, to be fatal.”

 

“A rigorous calculation of the background extinction rate for amphibians has not been performed, in part because amphibian fossils are so rare. Almost certainly, though, the rate is lower than it is for mammals. Probably, one amphibian species should go extinct every thousand years or so. That species could be from Africa or from Asia or from Australia. In other words, the odds of an individual’s witnessing such an event should be effectively zero. Already, Griffith has observed several amphibian extinctions. Pretty much every herpetologist working out in the field has watched several. (Even I, in the time I spent researching this book, encountered one species that has since gone extinct and three or four others, like the Panamanian golden frog, that are now extinct in the wild.) “I sought a career in herpetology because I enjoy working with animals,” Joseph Mendelson, a herpetologist at Zoo Atlanta, has written. “I did not anticipate that it would come to resemble paleontology.”

 

“Today, amphibians enjoy the dubious distinction of being the world’s most endangered class of animals; it’s been calculated that the group’s extinction rate could be as much as forty-five thousand times higher than the background rate. But extinction rates among many other groups are approaching amphibian levels. It is estimated that one-third of all reef-building corals, a third of all freshwater mollusks, a third of sharks and rays, a quarter of all mammals, a fifth of all reptiles, and a sixth of all birds are headed toward oblivion. The losses are occurring all over: in the South Pacific and in the North Atlantic, in the Arctic and the Sahel, in lakes and on islands, on mountaintops and in valleys. If you know how to look, you can probably find signs of the current extinction event in your own backyard.”

 

“There are all sorts of seemingly disparate reasons that species are disappearing. But trace the process far enough and inevitably you are led to the same culprit: “one weedy species.”

 

“Bd is capable of moving on its own. The fungus generates microscopic spores with long, skinny tails; these propel themselves through water and can be carried far longer distances by streams, or in the runoff after a rainstorm. (It’s likely this sort of dispersal produced what showed up in Panama as an eastward-moving scourge.) But this kind of movement cannot explain the emergence of the fungus in so many distant parts of the world—Central America, South America, North America, Australia—more or less simultaneously. One theory has it that Bd was moved around the globe with shipments of African clawed frogs, which were used in the nineteen-fifties and sixties in pregnancy tests. (Female African clawed frogs, when injected with the urine of a pregnant woman, lay eggs within a few hours.) Suggestively, African clawed frogs do not seem to be adversely affected by Bd, though they are widely infected with it. A second theory holds that the fungus was spread by North American bullfrogs which have been introduced—sometimes accidentally, sometimes purposefully—into Europe, Asia, and South America, and which are often exported for human consumption. North American bullfrogs, too, are widely infected with Bd but “do not seem to be harmed by it. The first has become known as the “Out of Africa” and the second might be called the “frog-leg soup” hypothesis.”

 

“Either way, the etiology is the same. Without being loaded by someone onto a boat or a plane, it would have been impossible for a frog carrying Bd to get from Africa to Australia or from North America to Europe. This sort of intercontinental reshuffling, which nowadays we find totally unremarkable, is probably unprecedented in the three-and-a-half-billion-year history of life.

 

“EVEN though Bd has swept through most of Panama by now, Griffith still occasionally goes out collecting for EVACC, looking for survivors. I scheduled my visit to coincide with one of these collecting trips, and one evening I set out with him and two of the American volunteers who were working on the waterfall. We headed east, across the Panama Canal, and spent the night in a region known as Cerro Azul, in a guesthouse ringed by an eight-foot-tall iron fence. At dawn, we drove to the ranger station at the entrance to Chagres National Park. Griffith was hoping to find females of two species that EVACC is short of. He pulled out his government-issued collecting permit and presented it to the sleepy officials manning the station. Some underfed dogs came out to sniff around the truck.”

 

“Beyond the ranger station, the road turned into a series of craters connected by deep ruts. Griffith put Jimi Hendrix on the truck’s CD player, and we bounced along to the throbbing beat. Frog collecting requires a lot of supplies, so Griffith had hired two men to help with the carrying. At the very last cluster of houses, in the tiny village of Los Ángeles, the men materialized out of the mist. We bounced on until the truck couldn’t go any farther; then we all got out and started to walk.”

 

“The trail wound its way through the rainforest in a slather of red mud. Every few hundred yards, the main path was crossed by a narrower one; these paths had been made by leaf-cutter ants, making millions—perhaps billions—of trips to bring bits of greenery back to their colonies. (The colonies, which look like mounds of sawdust, can cover an area the size of a city park.) One of the Americans, Chris Bednarski, from the Houston Zoo, warned me to avoid the soldier ants, which will leave their jaws in your shin even after they’re dead. “Those’ll really mess you up,” he observed. The other American, John Chastain, from the Toledo Zoo, was carrying a long hook, for use against venomous snakes. “Fortunately, the ones that can really mess you up are pretty rare,” “Bednarski assured me. Howler monkeys screamed in the distance. Griffith pointed out jaguar prints in the soft ground.”

 

“After about an hour, we came to a farm that someone had carved out of the trees. There was some scraggly corn growing, but no one was around, and it was hard to say whether the farmer had given up on the poor rainforest soil or was simply away for the day. A flock of emerald green parrots shot up into the air. After another several hours, we emerged into a small clearing. A blue morpho butterfly flitted by, its wings the color of the sky. There was a small cabin on the site, but it was so broken down that everyone elected to sleep outside. Griffith helped me string up my bed—a cross between a tent and a hammock that had to be hung between two trees. A slit in the bottom constituted the entryway, and the top was supposed to provide protection against the inevitable rain. When I climbed into the thing, I felt as if I were lying in a coffin.”

 

“That evening, Griffith prepared some rice on a portable gas burner. Then we strapped on headlamps and clambered down to a nearby stream. Many amphibians are nocturnal, and the only way to see them is to go looking in the dark, an exercise that’s as tricky as it sounds. I kept slipping, and violating Rule No. 1 of rainforest safety: never grab onto something if you don’t know what it is. After one of my falls, Bednarski pointed out to me a tarantula the size of my fist sitting on the next tree over.”

 

“Practiced hunters can find frogs at night by shining a light into the forest and looking for the reflected glow of their eyes. The first amphibian Griffith sighted this way was a San Jose Cochran frog, perched on top of a leaf. San Jose Cochran frogs are part of a larger family known as “glass frogs,” so named because their translucent skin reveals the outline of their internal organs. This particular glass frog was green, with tiny yellow dots. Griffith pulled a pair of surgical gloves out of his pack. He stood completely still and then, with a heronlike gesture, darted to scoop up the frog. With his free hand, he took what looked like the end of a Q-tip and swabbed the frog’s belly. He put the Q-tip in a little plastic vial—it would later be sent to a lab and analyzed for Bd—and since it wasn’t one of the species he was looking for, he placed the frog back on the leaf. Then he pulled out his camera. The frog stared back at the lens impassively.”

 

“We continued to grope through the blackness. Someone spotted a La Loma robber frog, which is orangey-red, like the forest floor; someone else spotted a Warzewitsch frog, which is bright green and shaped like a leaf. With every animal, Griffith went through the same routine: snatching it up, swabbing its belly, photographing it. ”

 

“Finally, we came upon a pair of Panamanian robber frogs locked in amplexus—the amphibian version of sex. Griffith left these two alone.”

 

“One of the amphibians that Griffith was hoping to catch, the horned marsupial frog, has a distinctive call that’s been likened to the sound of a champagne bottle being uncorked. As we sloshed along—by this point we were walking in the middle of the stream—we heard the call, which seemed to be emanating from several directions at once. At first, it sounded as if it were right nearby, but as we approached, it seemed to get farther away. Griffith began imitating the call, making a cork-popping sound with his lips. Eventually, he decided that the rest of us were scaring the frogs with our splashing. He waded ahead, and we stayed for a long time up to our knees in water, trying not to move. When Griffith finally gestured us over, we found him standing in front of a large yellow frog with long toes and an owlish face. It was sitting on a tree limb, just above eye level. Griffith was looking to find a female horned marsupial frog to add to EVACC’s collection. He shot out his arm, grabbed the frog, and flipped it over. Where a female horned marsupial would have a pouch “this one had none. Griffith swabbed it, photographed it, and placed it back in the tree.”

 

“You are a beautiful boy,” he murmured to the frog.

Around midnight, we headed back to camp. The only animals that Griffith decided to bring with him were two tiny blue-bellied poison frogs and one whitish salamander, whose species neither he nor the two Americans could identify. The frogs and the salamander were placed in plastic bags with some leaves to keep them moist. It occurred to me that the frogs and their progeny, if they had any, and their progeny’s progeny, if they had any, would never again touch the floor of the rainforest but would live out their days in disinfected glass tanks. That night it poured, and in my coffinlike hammock I had vivid, troubled dreams, the only scene from which I could later recall was of a bright yellow frog smoking a cigarette through a holder.”

 

“Extinction may be the first scientific idea that kids today have to grapple with. One-year-olds are given toy dinosaurs to play with, and two-year-olds understand, in a vague sort of way at least, that these small plastic creatures represent very large animals. If they’re quick learners—or, alternatively, slow toilet trainers—children still in diapers can explain that there were once lots of kinds of dinosaurs and that they all died off long ago. (My own sons, as toddlers, used to spend hours over a set of dinosaurs that could be arranged on a plastic mat depicting a forest from the Jurassic or Cretaceous. The scene featured a lava-spewing volcano, which, when you pressed on it, emitted a delightfully terrifying roar.) All of which is to say that extinction strikes us as an obvious idea. It isn’t.”

 

“Aristotle wrote a ten-book History of Animals without ever considering the possibility that animals actually had a history. Pliny’s Natural History includes descriptions of animals that are real and descriptions of animals that are fabulous, but no descriptions of animals that are extinct. The idea did not crop up during the Middle Ages or during the Renaissance, when the word “fossil” was used to refer to anything dug up from the ground (hence the term “fossil fuels”). In the Enlightenment, the prevailing view was that every species was a link in a great, unbreakable “chain of being.” As Alexander Pope put it in his Essay on Man:

 

All are but parts of one stupendous whole,

Whose body nature is, and God the soul.”

 

“When Carl Linnaeus introduced his system of binomial nomenclature, he made no distinction between the living and the dead because, in his view, none was required. The tenth edition of his Systema Naturae, published in 1758, lists sixty-three species of scarab beetle, thirty-four species of cone snail, and sixteen species of flat fishes. And yet in the Systema Naturae, there is really only one kind of animal—those that exist.”

 

“This view persisted despite a sizable body of evidence to the contrary. Cabinets of curiosities in London, Paris, and Berlin were filled with traces of strange creatures that no one had ever seen—the remains of animals that would now be identified as trilobites, belemnites, and ammonites. Some of the last were so large their fossilized shells approached the size of wagon wheels. In the eighteenth century, mammoth bones increasingly made their way to Europe from Siberia. These, too, were shoehorned into the system. The bones looked a lot like those of elephants. Since there clearly were no elephants in contemporary Russia, it was decided that they must have belonged to beasts that had been washed north in the great flood of Genesis.”

 

“Extinction finally emerged as a concept, probably not coincidentally, in revolutionary France. It did so largely thanks to one animal, the creature now called the American mastodon, or Mammut americanum, and one man, the naturalist Jean-Léopold-Nicolas-Frédéric Cuvier, known after a dead brother simply as Georges. Cuvier is an equivocal figure in the history of science. He was far ahead of his contemporaries yet also held many of them back; he could be charming and he could be vicious; he was a visionary and, at the same time, a reactionary. By the middle of the nineteenth century, many of his ideas had been discredited. But the most recent discoveries have tended to support those very theories of his that were most thoroughly vilified, with the result that Cuvier’s essentially tragic vision of earth history has come to seem prophetic.”

 

“WHEN, exactly, Europeans first stumbled upon the bones of an American mastodon is unclear. An isolated molar unearthed in a field in upstate New York was sent off to London in 1705; it was labeled the “tooth of a Giant.” The first mastodon bones subjected to what might, anachronistically, be called scientific study were discovered in 1739. That year, Charles le Moyne, the second Baron de Longueuil, was traveling down the Ohio River with four hundred troops, some, like him, Frenchmen, most of the others Algonquians and Iroquois. The journey was arduous and supplies were short. On one leg, a French soldier would later recall, the troops were reduced to living off acorns. Sometime probably in the fall, Longueuil and his troops set up camp on the east bank of the Ohio, not far from what is now the city of Cincinnati. Several of the Native Americans set off to go hunting.”

 

“A few miles away, they came to a patch of marsh that gave off a sulfurous smell. Buffalo tracks led to the marsh from all directions, and hundreds—perhaps thousands—of huge bones poked out of the muck, like spars of a ruined ship. The men returned to camp carrying a thigh bone three and a half feet long, an immense tusk, and several huge teeth. The teeth had roots the length of a human hand, and each one weighed nearly ten pounds.”

 

“Longueuil was so intrigued by the bones that he instructed his troops to take them along when they broke camp. Lugging the enormous tusk, femur, and molars, the men pushed on through the wilderness. Eventually, they reached the Mississippi River, where they met up with a second contingent of French troops. Over the next several months, many of Longueuil’s men died of disease, and the campaign they had come to wage, against the Chickasaw, ended in humiliation and defeat. Nevertheless, Longueuil kept the strange bones safe. He made his way to New Orleans and from there shipped the tusk, the teeth, and the giant femur to France. They were presented to Louis XV, who installed them in his museum, the Cabinet du Roi. Decades later, maps of the Ohio River valley were still largely blank, except for the Endroit où on a trouvé des os d’Éléphant—the “place where the elephant bones were found.” (Today the “place where the elephant bones were found” is a state park in Kentucky known as Big Bone Lick.)”

 

“Longueuil’s bones confounded everyone who examined them. The femur and the tusk looked as if they could have belonged to an elephant or, much the same thing according to the taxonomy of the time, a mammoth. But the animal’s teeth were a conundrum. They resisted categorization. Elephants’ teeth (and also mammoths’) are flat on top, with thin ridges that run from side to side, so that the chewing surface resembles the sole of a running shoe. Mastodon teeth, by contrast, are cusped. They do, indeed, look as if they might belong to a jumbo-sized human. The first naturalist to study one of them, Jean-Étienne Guettard, declined even to guess at its provenance.

“What animal does it come from?” he asked plaintively in a paper delivered to France’s Royal Academy of Sciences in 1752.”

 

“In 1762, the keeper of the king’s cabinet, Louis-Jean-Marie Daubenton, tried to resolve the puzzle of the curious teeth by declaring that the “unknown animal of the Ohio” was not an animal at all. Rather, it was two animals. The tusks and leg bones belonged to elephants; the molars came from another creature entirely. Probably, he decided, this other creature was a hippopotamus.”

 

“Right around this time, a second shipment of mastodon bones was sent to Europe, this time to London. These remains, also from Big Bone Lick, exhibited the same befuddling pattern: the bones and tusks were elephant-like, while the molars were covered in knobby points. William Hunter, attending physician to the queen, found Daubenton’s explanation for the discrepancy wanting. He offered a different explanation—the first halfway accurate one.

“The supposed American elephant,” he submitted, was a totally new animal with “which anatomists were unacquainted.” It was, he decided, carnivorous, hence its scary-looking teeth. He dubbed the beast the American incognitum.”

 

“France’s leading naturalist, Georges-Louis Leclerc, Comte de Buffon, added yet another twist to the debate. He argued that the remains in question represented not one or two, but three separate animals: an elephant, a hippopotamus, and a third, as-yet-unknown species. With great trepidation, Buffon allowed that this last species—“the largest of them all”—seemed to have disappeared. It was, he proposed, the only land animal ever to have done so.”

 

“In 1781, Thomas Jefferson was drawn into the controversy. In his Notes on the State of Virginia, written just after he left the state’s governorship, Jefferson concocted his own version of the incognitum. The animal was, he maintained with Buffon, the largest of all beasts—“five or six times the cubic volume of the elephant.” (This would disprove the theory, popular in Europe at the time, that the animals of the New World were smaller and more “degenerate” than those of the Old.) The creature, Jefferson agreed with Hunter, was probably carnivorous. But it was still out there somewhere. If it could not be found in Virginia, it was roaming those parts of the continent that “remain in their aboriginal state, unexplored and undisturbed.” When, as president, he dispatched Meriwether Lewis and William Clark to the Northwest, Jefferson hoped that they would come upon live incognita roaming its forests.”

 

“Such is the economy of nature,” he wrote, “that no instance can be produced of her having permitted any one race of her animals to become extinct; of her having formed any link in her great work so weak as to be broken.”

 

CUVIER arrived in Paris in early 1795, half a century after the remains from the Ohio Valley had reached the city. He was twenty-five years old, with wide-set gray eyes, a prominent nose, and a temperament one friend compared to the exterior of the earth—generally cool but capable of violent tremors and eruptions.” “Cuvier had grown up in a small town on the Swiss border and had few contacts in the capital. Nevertheless, he had managed to secure a prestigious position there, thanks to the passing of the ancien régime on the one hand and his own sublime self-regard on the other. An older colleague would later describe him as popping up in Paris “like a mushroom.”

Cuvier’s job at Paris’s Museum of Natural History—the democratic successor to the king’s cabinet—was, officially, to teach. But in his spare time, he delved into the museum’s collection. He spent long hours studying the bones that Longueuil had sent to Louis XV, comparing them with other specimens. On April 4, 1796—or, according to the revolutionary calendar in use at the time, 15 Germinal Year IV—he presented the results of his research at a public lecture.”

 

“Cuvier’s job at Paris’s Museum of Natural History—the democratic successor to the king’s cabinet—was, officially, to teach. But in his spare time, he delved into the museum’s collection. He spent long hours studying the bones that Longueuil had sent to Louis XV, comparing them with other specimens. On April 4, 1796—or, according to the revolutionary calendar in use at the time, 15 Germinal Year IV—he presented the results of his research at a public lecture.”

 

“Cuvier began by discussing elephants. Europeans had known for a long time that there were elephants in Africa, which were considered dangerous, and elephants that resided in Asia, which were said to be more docile. Still, elephants were regarded as elephants, much as dogs were dogs, some gentle and others ferocious. On the basis of his examination of the elephant remains at the museum, including one particularly well-preserved skull from Ceylon and another from the Cape of Good Hope, Cuvier had recognized—correctly, of course—that the two belonged to separate species.”

 

“It is clear that the elephant from Ceylon differs more from that of Africa than the horse from the ass or the goat from the sheep,” he declared. Among the animals’ many distinguishing characteristics were their teeth. The elephant from Ceylon had molars with wavy ridges on the surface “like festooned ribbons,” while the elephant from the Cape of Good Hope had teeth with ridges arranged in the shape of diamonds. Looking at live animals would not have revealed this difference, as who would have the temerity to peer down an elephant’s throat? “It is to anatomy alone that zoology owes this interesting discovery,” Cuvier declared.”

 

“Having successfully, as it were, sliced the elephant in two, Cuvier continued with his dissection. The accepted theory about the giant bones from Russia, Cuvier concluded after “scrupulous examination” of the evidence, was wrong. The teeth and jaws from Siberia “do not exactly resemble those of an elephant.” They belonged to another species entirely. As for the teeth of the animal from Ohio, well, a single glance was “sufficient to see that they differ still further.”

 

“What has become of these two enormous animals of which one no longer finds any living traces?” he asked. The question, in Cuvier’s formulation, answered itself. They were espèces perdues, or lost species. Already, Cuvier had doubled the number of extinct vertebrates, from (possibly) one to two. He was just getting going.”

 

“A few months earlier, Cuvier had received sketches of a skeleton that had been discovered on the bank of the Río Luján, west of Buenos Aires. The skeleton—twelve feet long and six feet high—had been shipped to Madrid, where it had been painstakingly reassembled. Working from the sketches, Cuvier had identified its owner—once again, correctly—as some sort of outlandishly oversized sloth. He named it Megatherium, meaning “giant beast.” Though he had never traveled to Argentina, or, for that matter, anywhere farther than Germany, Cuvier was convinced that Megatherium was no longer to be found lumbering along the rivers of South America. It, too, had disappeared. The same was true of the so-called Maastricht animal, whose remains—an enormous, pointy jaw studded with sharklike teeth—had been found in a Dutch

 

“quarry. (The Maastricht fossil had recently been seized by the French, who occupied the Netherlands in 1795.)

And if there were four extinct species, Cuvier declared, there must be others. The proposal was a daring one to make given the available evidence. On the basis of a few scattered bones, Cuvier had conceived of a whole new way of looking at life. Species died out. This was not an isolated but a widespread phenomenon.

“All these facts, consistent among themselves, and not opposed by any report, seem to me to prove the existence of a world previous to ours,” Cuvier said. “But what was this primitive earth? And what revolution was able to wipe it out?”

 

“SINCE Cuvier’s day, the Museum of Natural History has grown into a sprawling institution with outposts all over France. Its main buildings, though, still occupy the site of the old royal gardens in the Fifth Arrondissement. Cuvier didn’t just work at the museum; for most of his adulthood, he also lived on the grounds, in a large stucco house that has since been converted into office space. Next to the house, there’s now a restaurant and next to that a menagerie, where, on the day that I visited, some wallabies were sunning themselves on the grass. Across the gardens, there’s a large hall that houses the museum’s paleontology collection.”

 

“Pascal Tassy is a director at the museum who specializes in proboscideans, the group that includes elephants and their lost cousins—mammoths, mastodons, and gomphotheres, to name just a few. I went to visit him because he’d promised to take me to see the very bones Cuvier had handled. I found Tassy in his dimly lit office, in the basement under the paleontology hall, sitting amid a mortuary’s worth of old skulls. The walls of the office were decorated with covers from old Tintin comic books. Tassy told me he’d decided to become a paleontologist when he was seven, after reading a Tintin adventure about a dig.”

 

“We chatted about proboscideans for a while. “They’re a fascinating group,” he told me. “For instance, the trunk, which is a change of anatomy in the facial area that is truly extraordinary, it evolved separately five times. Two times—yes, that’s surprising. But it happened five times independently! We are forced to accept this by looking at the fossils.” So far, Tassy said, some 170 proboscidean species have been identified, going back some fifty-five million years, “and this is far from complete, I am sure.”

We headed upstairs, into an annex attached to the back of the paleontology hall like a caboose.”

 

“Tassy unlocked a small room crowded with metal cabinets. Just inside the door, partially wrapped in plastic, stood what resembled a hairy umbrella stand. This, Tassy explained, was the leg of a woolly mammoth, which had been found, frozen and desiccated, on an island off northern Siberia. When I looked at it more closely, I could see that the skin of the leg had been stitched together, like a moccasin. The hair was a very dark brown and seemed, even after more than ten thousand years, to be almost perfectly preserved.”

 

“Tassy opened up one of the metal cabinets and placed the contents on a wooden table. These were the teeth that Longueuil had schlepped down the Ohio River. They were huge and knobby and blackened.”

 

“This is the Mona Lisa of paleontology,” Tassy said, pointing to the largest of the group. “The beginning of everything. It’s incredible because Cuvier himself made the drawing of this tooth. So he looked at it very carefully.” Tassy pointed out to me the original catalog numbers, which had been painted on the teeth in the eighteenth century and were now so faded they could barely be made out.”

 

“I picked up the largest tooth in both hands. It was indeed a remarkable object. It was around eight inches long and four across—about the size of a brick and nearly as heavy. The cusps—four sets—were pointy, and the enamel was still largely intact. The roots, as thick as ropes, formed a solid mass the color of mahogany.”

 

“From an evolutionary perspective, there’s actually nothing strange about a mastodon’s molars. Mastodon teeth, like most other mammalian teeth, are composed of a core of dentin surrounded by a layer of harder but more brittle enamel. About thirty million years ago, the proboscidean line that would lead to mastodons split off from the line that would lead to mammoths and elephants. The latter would eventually evolve its more sophisticated teeth, which are made up of enamel-covered plates that have been fused into a shape a bit like a bread loaf. ”

 

“This arrangement is a lot tougher, and it allowed mammoths—and still allows elephants—to consume an unusually abrasive diet. Mastodons, meanwhile, retained their relatively primitive molars (as did humans) and just kept chomping away. Of course, as Tassy pointed out to me, the evolutionary perspective is precisely what Cuvier lacked, which in some ways makes his achievements that much more impressive.

“Sure, he made errors,” Tassy said. “But his technical works, most of them are splendid. He was a real fantastic anatomist.”

 

“After we had examined the teeth for a while longer, Tassy took me up to the paleontology hall. Just beyond the entrance, the giant femur sent to Paris by Longueuil was displayed, mounted on a pedestal. It was as wide around as a fencepost. French schoolchildren were streaming past us, yelling excitedly. Tassy had a large ring of keys, which he used to open up various drawers underneath the glass display cases. He showed me a mammoth tooth that had been examined by Cuvier and bits of various other extinct species that Cuvier had been the first to identify.”

 

“Then he took me to look at the Maastricht animal, still today one of the world’s most famous fossils. (Though the Netherlands has repeatedly asked for it back, the French have held on to it for more than two hundred years.) In the eighteenth century, the Maastricht fossil was thought by some to belong to a strange crocodile and by others to be from a snaggle-toothed whale. Cuvier would eventually attribute it, yet again correctly, to a marine reptile. (The creature later would be dubbed a mosasaur.)”

 

“Around lunchtime, I walked Tassy back to his office. Then I wandered through the gardens to the restaurant next to Cuvier’s old house. Because it seemed like the thing to do, I ordered the Menu Cuvier—your choice of entrée plus dessert. As I was working my way through the second course—a very tasty cream-filled tart—I began to feel uncomfortably full. I was reminded of a description I had read of the anatomist’s anatomy. During the Revolution, Cuvier was thin. In the years he lived on the museum grounds, he grew stouter and stouter, until, toward the end of his life, he became enormously fat.”

 

“WITH his lecture on “the species of elephants, both living and fossil,” Cuvier had succeeded in establishing extinction as a fact. But his most extravagant assertion—that ” “there had existed a whole lost world, filled with lost species—remained just that. If there had indeed been such a world, traces of other extinct animals ought to be findable. So Cuvier set out to find them.”

 

“As it happens, Paris in the seventeen-nineties was a fine place to be a paleontologist. The hills to the north of the city were riddled with quarries that were actively producing gypsum, the main ingredient of plaster of Paris. (The capital grew so haphazardly over so many mines that by Cuvier’s day cave-ins were a major hazard.) Not infrequently, miners came upon weird bones, which were prized by collectors, even though they had no real idea what they were collecting. With the help of one such enthusiast, Cuvier had soon assembled the pieces of another extinct animal, which he called l’animal moyen de Montmartre—the medium-sized animal from Montmartre.”

 

“All the while, Cuvier was soliciting specimens from other naturalists in other parts of Europe. Owing to the reputation the French had earned for seizing objects of value, few collectors would send along actual fossils. But detailed drawings began to arrive from, among other places, Hamburg, Stuttgart, Leiden, and Bologna. “I should say that I have been supported with the most ardent enthusiasm … by all Frenchmen and foreigners who cultivate or love the sciences,” Cuvier wrote appreciatively.”

 

“By 1800, which is to say four years after the elephant paper, Cuvier’s fossil zoo had expanded to include twenty-three species he deemed to be extinct. These included: a pygmy hippopotamus, whose remains he discovered in a storeroom at the Paris museum; an elk with enormous antlers whose bones had been found in Ireland; and a large bear—what now would be known as a cave bear—from Germany. The Montmartre animal had, by this point, divided, or multiplied, into six separate species. (Even today, little is known about these species, except that they were ungulates and lived some thirty million years ago.) “If so many lost species have been restored in so little time, how many must be supposed to exist still in the depths of the earth?” Cuvier asked.”

 

“Cuvier had a showman’s flair and, long before the museum employed public relations professionals, knew how to grab attention. (“He was a man who could have been a star on television today” is how Tassy put it to me.) At one point, the Parisian gypsum mines yielded a fossil of a rabbit-sized creature with a narrow body and a squarish head. Cuvier concluded, based on the shape of its teeth, that the fossil belonged to a marsupial. This was a bold claim, as there were no known marsupials in the Old World. To heighten the drama, Cuvier announced he would put his identification to a public test.”

 

“Marsupials have a distinctive pair of bones, now known as epipubic bones, that extend from their pelvis. Though these bones were not visible in the fossil as it was presented to him, Cuvier predicted that if he scratched around, the missing bones would be revealed. He invited Paris’s scientific elite to gather and watch as he picked away at the fossil with a fine needle. Voilà, the bones appeared. (A cast of the marsupial fossil is on display in Paris in the paleontology hall, but the original is deemed too valuable to be exhibited and so is kept in a special vault.)”

 

“Cuvier staged a similar bit of paleontological performance art during a trip to the Netherlands. In a museum in Haarlem, he examined a specimen that consisted of a large, half-moon-shaped skull attached to part of a spinal column. The three-foot-long fossil had been discovered nearly a century earlier and had been attributed—rather curiously, given the shape of the head—to a human. (It had even been assigned a scientific name: Homo diluvii testis, or “man who was witness to the Flood.”) To rebut this identification, Cuvier first got hold of an ordinary salamander skeleton. Then, with the approval of the Haarlem museum’s director, he began chipping away at the rock around the “deluge man’s” spine. ”

 

“When he uncovered the fossil animal’s forelimbs, they were, just as he had predicted, shaped like a salamander’s. The creature was not an antediluvian human but something far weirder: a giant amphibian.”

 

“The more extinct species Cuvier turned up, the more the nature of the beasts seemed to change. Cave bears, giant sloths, even giant salamanders—all these bore some relationship to species still alive. But what to make of a bizarre fossil that had been found in a limestone formation in Bavaria? Cuvier received an engraving of this fossil from one of his many correspondents. It showed a tangle of bones, including what looked to be weirdly long arms, skinny fingers, and a narrow beak. The first naturalist to examine it had speculated that its owner had been a sea animal and had used its elongated arms as paddles. Cuvier, on the basis of the engraving, determined—shockingly—that the animal was actually a flying reptile. He called it a ptero-dactyle, meaning “wing-fingered.”

 
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Essay GMO 1 1/2 Pages APA Formatting In-Text Citations

BOS 3551, Environmental Issues 1

Course Learning Outcomes for Unit VI Upon completion of this unit, students should be able to:

1. Outline important environmental problems and debates. 1.1 Summarize arguments for and against genetically modified organisms.

5. Discuss global attitudes and behaviors related to sustainable development.

5.1 Evaluate the potential of organic, conventional, and high-tech agriculture to be part of global sustainable development.

5.2 Discuss the role of aquaculture in the sustainable management of marine fisheries.

7. Recommend solutions for environmental problems. 7.1 Explain the major threats and potential solutions to food security issues in the coming

century. 7.2 Summarize the primary threats to marine fisheries and potential solutions to the depletion

of those fisheries.

Reading Assignment Unit 4: Food and Population, pp. 215–249

Unit Lesson Commercial Fishing In Unit V, you read two articles on population. One argued that our growing human population is not a problem, and the other argued that it most certainly is. Whichever side you agree with on the topic of population, the fact is that the more people we have on the planet, the more food we need from not only the land but also the oceans. This unit’s articles on the future of commercial fishing do not disagree about whether the world’s fisheries are in a perilous state. They agree that fisheries are overexploited, but one is more optimistic than the other. Carl Safina (2009/2016) believes that conservation and restoration of fish populations to a sustainable state is possible. The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) argues that despite progress, there is still cause for concern regarding the state of the world’s fisheries. The report states that there will need to be continued growth in aquaculture to meet the demand for fish (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations [FAO], 2010/2016). The FAO’s cause for concern is shared not only by Safina but also by many scientists, managers, and conservationists. Both freshwater and marine species face many threats. Fertilizer runoff from agricultural operations increases nutrient levels in water bodies, causing algal blooms. As the algae die, they are consumed by bacteria in the water, which use up oxygen in the decomposition process. This creates dead zones where aquatic life cannot survive. Increasing amounts of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere cause oceans to become more acidic. When ocean water is more acidic, marine life cannot make shells as effectively, and coral bleaching occurs. Corals provide a habitat for many fish species, so the destruction of coral reefs causes a decrease in biodiversity in the ocean. A less biodiverse habitat has a decreased capacity to withstand stress, making the ecosystem more vulnerable to collapse. A more direct threat to fisheries is that there are simply too many fish being harvested. A fish population must have a minimum number of fish to sustain itself, and when catches are above the minimum needed to maintain this population, the species is said to be exploited. The FAO report states that “most of the stocks of the top ten species [of fish] … are fully exploited (2010/2016, p.223). The FAO report points out that there has

UNIT VI STUDY GUIDE

Commercial Fishing, High-Tech Agriculture, and Genetic Modification

 

 

 

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been progress in exploitation rates in some areas, but habitat degradation and increases in demand will continue to put pressure on fish populations as the population increases to nine billion by 2050 (FAO, 2010/2016). Safina (2009/2016) agrees with many of the pressures on fisheries discussed in the FAO report. However, he points out several ways in which these pressures can be alleviated and the fish populations harvested at sustainable levels. One tool he suggests is tradable fish shares. Fishery managers can allot an allowable catch for each fisher, and they can also change the total allowable catch from year to year, depending on the state of the fish population. This method of fishery management has worked well in Alaska, where tradable shares were used to manage the halibut population. For severely threatened stocks, the complete closure of a fishery is necessary to allow a population to recover. However, if the population is less exploited, mixed zoning allows for certain areas to be fished in any way at any time, others to be fished using only methods that do not involve dragging gear along the seafloor, and others that are entirely closed either periodically or permanently (Safina, 2009/2016). In addition to these management tools, Safina (2009/2016) calls for scientists, fishery managers, and fishers to work together to reverse the depletion of the world’s fisheries and better inform the public of the problem. Increased awareness of the overexploitation of fish populations is certainly important—especially when we consider the warning of marine research scientist Dr. Boris Worm, who has stated that if current trends continue, all fish stocks will collapse by 2048 (as cited in Kareiva, 2010/2016). Other marine scientists have called such claims alarmist; however, events such as the collapse of the Grand Banks cod, in which not a single school of cod could be found in a once-abundant cod fishery, should give us reason to take such claims seriously (Pearce, 1996/2016). High-Tech Agriculture The two articles on commercial fishing discussed the potential of the world’s fisheries to provide enough food for our growing population, while Fedoroff et al. (2010/2016) and Aher, Swami, and Sengupta (2012/2016) argue their views of the best path forward for the land to provide the same. As with most other issues we have discussed in the course, one central aspect of this issue is the fact that our population is projected to reach nine billion by 2050. Currently, most agriculture is conventional agriculture. This form of agriculture relies upon high inputs of synthetic fertilizers and pesticides to increase yields. Crops are planted in a monoculture, which is the planting of a single species of crop in a field. A monoculture is more vulnerable to stress from weeds and pests, so the maintenance of such a crop requires more chemicals and fertilizers than would a polyculture. The manufacture of fertilizers requires high inputs of fossil fuels. Aher et al. point out that “greenhouse gas emissions from the agricultural sector account for 10-12%…of the total anthropogenic annual emissions of CO2-equivalents” (2012/2016, p. 232). This number only accounts for emissions directly from agricultural operations and does not even account for the emissions from pesticide and fertilizer manufacturing or the fossil fuels used for machinery (Aher et al., 2012/2016). To make agriculture more sustainable, Aher et al. argue that we can use resources more sustainably and decrease the amounts of greenhouse gases emitted from the agricultural industry. Organic agriculture avoids the use of synthetic fertilizers and pesticides. Organic agriculture also positively impacts soil quality, requires less energy input, and can produce yields that are as high, if not higher, than those of conventional agriculture (Aher et al., 2012/2016). Although there are many positive aspects to the concept of organic agriculture, the actual practice does not always measure up in the real world. For example, many people buy organic produce because they think that the produce is free of pesticides. However, organic farmers do use certain approved pesticides that are derived from natural sources. These pesticides are not necessarily safer for consumption or better for the environment, and they can sometimes even be worse. Additionally, although Aher et al. (2012/2016) state that organic yields are the same, if not better, than conventional yields, other studies indicate that organic yields are only 80% that of conventional yields. If organic yields are lower, conventional, this means that much more land would be needed to produce the same amount of food if organic agriculture were widely used. Fedoroff et al.(2010/2016) do not address whether or not organic agriculture could feed the world, but they argue that we must take the coming effects of climate change into account in making decisions about what agricultural approaches we choose. In 2003, a heat wave in Europe, with temperatures only 3.5 degrees C above normal, caused grain yields to decline by 20-36% (Federoff et al., 2010/2016). Since these temperatures may become averages by 2050, these declines are quite alarming. Additional effects of climate

 

 

 

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change include the flooding of fertile, low-lying areas and altered stream flows, which would further reduce the amount of arable land. Federoff et al. (2010/2016) believe that we need to foster the use of new agricultural technologies, such as integrating agriculture and aquaculture, dryland and saline agriculture, and even genetically modified crops. Clearly, given the growing population and potential threats of climate change to food security, we must take action to create a food system that maximizes output while minimizing negative impacts to human health and the environment. The textbook presents the choice between conventional and organic agriculture as an either/or proposition. Perhaps a better way to frame the argument is to not frame it as an argument at all:

You can appreciate the upsides of rotating crops and how GMOs might improve output and nutrition. You, the wise and intelligent consumer, don’t have to buy into either side’s propaganda and polarize to one end or another. You can, instead, be somewhere along the spectrum, and encourage both ends to listen up and work together to improve our global food resources and act sustainably. (Wilcox, 2011)

Genetically Modified Organisms Farmers have been breeding plants for favorable characteristics, such as high yields or pest resistance, since farming began around 10,000 years ago. About 30 years ago, scientists developed the technology to insert such characteristics from one plant species to another, and they can now insert even non-plant genes into crops. The process of inserting genes from one species to another is genetic modification, and the resulting organisms are called genetically modified organisms (GMOs). Many researchers see GMOs as our best hope to feed our growing population, but GMOs also have staunch opponents who believe that there are serious health and ecological concerns with GMOs. Vandana Shiva, an Indian physicist and environmentalists, is one of these opponents. Shiva (2013/2016) argues that the use of GMOs in India, specifically Bt cotton, has failed to increase yields and has caused an increase in pesticide use. Worst of all, Shiva (2013/2016) claims that the financial devastation caused by the higher costs of Bt cotton combined with failed crops has caused a significant increase in the number of farmers committing suicide in the areas of India where Bt cotton was planted. Bt cotton contains a gene sequence from a soil bacterium, Bacillius thuringiensis. This bacterium produces a pesticide that kills the bollworm, a common agricultural pest. When the genes are inserted into plants, the plants produce the pesticide themselves, making them resistant to the bollworm. Upon the introduction of Bt cotton to India, the price of seed jumped 8000%, without an accompanying increase in yield to offset costs (Shiva, 2013/2016). Shiva (2013/2016) claims that field studies done by her research foundation have also found a 13-fold increase in the use of pesticides following the introduction of Bt cotton. Therefore, Indian farmers borrow large sums of money to buy the Bt cotton seeds, do not get higher yields to offset the cost, must also increase their use of pesticides, and end up in such desperate financial situations that they commit suicide. Keith Kloor (2014/2016) disputes the GMO-debt-suicide connection made by Shiva. Kloor (2014/2016) cites multiple studies that show that Bt cotton has actually reduced pesticide spraying, increased yields, and saved money for Indian cotton farmers. Kloor (2014/2016) argues that Indian banking policies, social and interpersonal problems, and preexisting mental illness are the causes of the suicides. He also maintains that Shiva’s opposition to GMOs stems not from the scientific evidence but from an ideological opposition to global free trade, which she and her foundation view as a system that benefits only large corporations (Kloor, 2014/2016). Kloor believes that Shiva and other vocal Bt cotton opponents use the narrative of “evil GMOs” to promote their agenda, and that their demonization of GMOs will stall or block advances that could actually help Indian farmers. Certainly, there are legitimate concerns about GMOs. Pests can develop resistance to pesticides. So, whether they are sprayed on the crops or manufactured by the crop themselves, crop losses occur when resistance develops. Although the anti-GMO movement claims that there are health risks to GMOs, the scientific consensus is that GMOs are safe for human consumption (Genetic Literacy Project, 2013). As with conventional versus organic agriculture, GMOs are another example of a polarizing issue. Again, we do not have to pick sides. Are all GMOs so dangerous that we should ban them? Certainly not. Are they all so harmless that we should start using them with abandon? Certainly not. After you read this unit’s article and complete the GMO assignment, think about how we can intelligently and objectively address this issue

 

 

 

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without falling into the trap of choosing an ideology instead of using our critical thinking skills to assess the true merits and potential dangers of emerging agricultural technologies.

References Aher, S. B., Swami, B., & Sengupta, B. (2016). Organic agriculture: Way towards sustainable development. In

T. A. Easton, Taking sides: Clashing views on environmental issues (16th ed. expanded, pp. 232– 234). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Education. (Reprinted from International Journal of Environmental Sciences, 209–214, July 2012)

Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. (2016). World review of fisheries and aquaculture.

Food and agriculture organization of the United Nations. In T. A. Easton, Taking sides: Clashing views on environmental issues (16th ed. expanded, pp. 222–224). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Education. (Reprinted from The State of World Fisheries and Aquaculture, 3–6, 8–9, 192–193, 2010)

Fedoroff, N. V., Battisti, D. S., Beachy, R. N., Cooper, P. J. M., Fischhoff, D. A., Hodges, C. N., . . . Zhu, J. -K.

(2016). Radically rethinking agriculture for the 21st century. In T. A. Easton, Taking sides: Clashing views on environmental issues (16th ed. expanded, pp. 229–231). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Education. (Reprinted from Science Magazine, 833–844, February 10, 2010)

Genetic Literacy Project. (2013). GLP infographic: International science organizations on crop biotech safety.

Retrieved from https://www.geneticliteracyproject.org/2013/08/27/glp-infographic-international- science-organizations-on-crop-biotechnology-safety/

Kareiva, P. (2010, November 29). Why do we keep hearing global fisheries are collapsing? [Blog post]

Retrieved from http://blog.nature.org/conservancy/2010/11/29/fisheries-apocalypse-ocean-fish-stock- peter-kareiva-ray-hilborn/

Kloor, K. (2016). The GMO-suicide myth. In T. A. Easton, Taking sides: Clashing views on environmental

issues (16th ed. expanded, pp. 243–248). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Education. (Reprinted from Issues in Science and Technology, Winter 2014)

Pearce, F. (1996). The grand banks: Where have all the cod gone? New Scientist. Retrieved from

https://www.nps.gov/olym/learn/education/upload/The-Grand-Banks-Collapse.pdf Safina, C. (2016). A future for U.S. fisheries. In T. A. Easton, Taking sides: Clashing views on environmental

issues (16th ed. expanded, pp. 218–221). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Education. (Reprinted from Issues in Science and Technology, 43–46, Summer 2009)

Shiva, V. (2016). Seed monopolies, GMOs, and farmers’ suicides in India. In T. A. Easton, Taking sides:

Clashing views on environmental issues (16th ed. expanded, pp. 239–242). New York, NY: McGraw- Hill Education. (Reprinted from http://www.navdanya.org/blog/?p=744, 2013)

Wilcox, C. (2011, July 18). Mythbusting 101: Organic farming > conventional agriculture. Scientific American.

Retrieved from http://blogs.scientificamerican.com/science- sushi/httpblogsscientificamericancomscience-sushi20110718mythbusting-101-organic-farming- conventional-agriculture/

 

Suggested Reading This study examines the extent of biodiversity loss of ocean fisheries. Worm, B., Barbier, E., & Beaumont, N. (2006, November 3). Impacts of biodiversity loss on ocean ecosystem

services. Science, 314. Retrieved from https://www3.epa.gov/region1/npdes/schillerstation/pdfs/AR- 024.pdf

 

 

 

 

BOS 3551, Environmental Issues 5

UNIT x STUDY GUIDE

Title

This article provides an in-depth look at the GMO debate. William, S. (2015, July 15). Unhealthy fixation. Slate. Retrieved from

http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/science/2015/07/are_gmos_safe_yes_the_case_ag ainst_them_is_full_of_fraud_lies_and_errors.html

In order to access the resource below, you must first log into the myCSU Student Portal and access the GreenFILE database within the CSU Online Library. This article studies food production and biodiversity in organic and conventional agriculture. Gabriel, D., Kunin, S. M., Benton, W. E., & Steffan-Dewenter, T. G. (2013, April 3). Food production vs.

biodiversity: Comparing organic and conventional agriculture. Journal of Applied Ecology, 50(2) 355– 364.

 
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Unit IV Assignment

Unit VI Assignment Fishbone Diagram Project Read the U.S. Chemical Safety Board investigation report of the 2007 propane explosion at the Little General Store in Ghent, WV. The final report can be read/downloaded at the following link: https://www.csb.gov/assets/1/20/csbfinalreportlittlegeneral.pdf?13741. Additional information on the incident, including a video summary, can be found at the following link: https://www.csb.gov/little-general-store-propane-explosion/ NOTE: This is the same investigation report used to complete the assignments in Units IV and V. Complete the assignment as detailed below. Part I: From the information in the report and from the information you developed for the assignments in Unit IV (events and causal factors [ECF] chart) and Unit V (barrier analysis), create a fishbone diagram that illustrates the relationship between the causal factors and the accident. In your diagram, the backbone of the fish should represent the accident, and the big bones should represent the people, procedures, environment, equipment, and policies. Part II: On a separate page, discuss what new information about the accident is revealed in the chart, and describe how that information might be used to identify potential corrective actions. This part of the assignment should be a minimum of one page in length. Upload Parts I and II as a single document. For Part II of the assignment, you should use academic sources to support your thoughts. Any outside sources used, including the sources mentioned in the assignment, must be cited using APA format and must be included on a references page

 
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